Predicting the success or failure of a quarterback going from the college game to the pros is an inexact science to say the least. Even going back to some of the biggest successes, there were experts who just didn’t see it. Aaron Rodgers wasn’t a top 20 pick, and wasn’t even the first QB taken in the 2005 draft for goodness sake. Draft analysts and even NFL teams are often wrong. Enter Will Grier.
In classes with no clear-cut top guy, opinions are all over the place. The 2019 quarterback class is one that has divided scouts, draft gurus, and football guys in general. Certain names, like Kyler Murray and Dwayne Haskins, have floated to the top of the heap, while Grier is mostly considered to be a mid-round selection. However, he should be graded higher.
Grier started six games as a Freshman at Florida, then two full seasons of starting experience at West Virginia. From 2017 to 2018, he got better in every single passing category. In 2018, he complete 67% of his passes for over 3,800 yards, 37 touchdowns to 8 interceptions. Of those eight picks, five of them were in two games. His passer rating was third best in the country, and his passing yards per attempt was the 14th best in NCAA history. His stats measure up to anybody.
The Kansas game was Grier’s worst of the season. He threw three interceptions, including the one above. If Grier has a major flaw, it’s his over-confidence in himself at times. He thinks he has the slant for a score, and fires it in, not seeing the inside defender coming off his man to make the play.
There are other instances of him firing the ball into places that he shouldn’t. Sometimes it’s because he gets in a hurry due to pressure. Sometimes he simply trusts his arm too much. Pressure does sometimes force him into bad plays, which is something he will have to work on as a professional, if he wants to succeed.
On the other side of things, Grier does a lot of things very well. His arm is good enough to make every throw, he is accurate to all parts of the field, and he has absolutely no fear.
Here is one a of number of deep throws where he drops it in on the money. He makes a perfect throw for a touchdown. His tape is riddled with these throws, but that’s not all there is to his game.
Like a little more difficulty? Here’s Grier dropping it in a bucket 35 yards down the field. He doesn’t have as big an arm as a guy like Drew Lock or Dwayne Haskins, but he can get it to all areas of the field, and has the kind of touch needed for passes like this. The ability to hit these kinds of tight window throws is absolutely necessary at the next level.
This one gets its own section. By now everybody has seen it, and it’s a legacy throw. The game is on the line, down a touchdown, and the quarterback says “I got this.”
I don’t think it’s a stretch to say Grier has the biggest set of brass balls in the draft. Does he struggle from time to time under pressure? Sure, but go watch Dwayne Haskins versus Penn State. Grier has no fear, and as many times as that might get him in trouble, just as often it produces magic.
There is no Andrew Luck in this year’s draft class. Three or four QBs are likely to go in the first round, and at least a few will go inside the top ten. Most analysts will favor Haskins or Murray, maybe even Lock or Daniel Jones. They are wrong.
Grier, like all of the other passers in this draft, has flaws. The positives outweigh the negatives, though. Despite a few forced throws, and some questionable footwork at times, he has the potential to be the best QB from this class. His arm, accuracy, and his mentality, which is an underrated part of his game, all spell winner. I have just one quarterback graded as a first round pick this year. His name is Will Grier, and he is better than the quarterback you like.